Find companies ready to sell before they go to market.
Predictive acquisition intelligence for independent sponsors, PE firms, and strategic acquirers. Multi-source signal fusion identifies sellers before bankers do.
Six signal categories. One fused intelligence layer.
Every scan ingests data across six distinct signal categories. Individually suggestive - together, they form a conviction-grade picture of sell-side readiness.
Ownership Transition
Founder aging, generational transfer, partner disputes, estate planning signals. Identifies businesses approaching natural ownership inflection points.
Financial Distress
Declining revenue, credit deterioration, covenant pressure, litigation exposure. Surfaces companies under financial strain that may need a capital event.
Growth Stall
Flat revenue, market saturation, talent attrition, slowing hiring. Detects companies that have plateaued and may be open to strategic alternatives.
Strategic Misalignment
Non-core divisions, corporate refocusing, post-merger orphans. Finds assets trapped inside organizations that no longer prioritize them.
Behavioral Signals
CFO hiring, advisor engagement, website changes, leadership departures. Tracks behavioral patterns that precede sell-side activity by 6-18 months.
Market Timing
Sector M&A cycles, interest rate windows, regulatory shifts, buyer appetite surges. Identifies macro conditions that compress seller timelines.
Quantified conviction. Not gut feel.
Every target is scored across five independent dimensions, then fused into a single composite Off-Market Opportunity Score with a clear verdict.
Exit Likelihood Score
0 - 100Probability that the target company will enter a sale process within the next 6-24 months. Derived from ownership signals, financial trajectory, and behavioral indicators.
Distress Pressure Score
0 - 100Degree of financial or operational pressure forcing a transaction. Higher scores indicate urgency - bankruptcy risk, covenant breaches, or cash flow deterioration.
Timing Score
0 - 100How immediate is the opportunity window? Factors in advisor engagement, process indicators, and macro timing to estimate time-to-market.
Buyer Fit Score
0 - 100Relevance of the target to your specific acquisition criteria - sector, size, geography, and strategic fit. Customized per scan configuration.
Access Score
0 - 100Ease of outreach and likelihood of engagement. Considers intermediary presence, ownership accessibility, and competitive dynamics around the target.
DFX Off-Market Opportunity Score
A weighted fusion of all five scoring dimensions into a single 0-100 composite. Calibrated against historical deal outcomes to maximize signal-to-noise. Every target receives a score and a verdict tier.
Nine sources. One fused signal.
We ingest from public records, financial filings, employment data, court systems, corporate registries, and behavioral indicators. Entity resolution stitches it all together.
SEC EDGAR
Ownership changes, Form D filings, insider transactions, beneficial ownership reports
CourtListener
Litigation filings, bankruptcy proceedings, distress indicators, judgments
Bureau of Labor Statistics
Employment trends, mass layoff events, QCEW data, wage trajectory
Federal Reserve
Credit conditions, interest rate environment, lending standards, macro outlook
OpenCorporates
Entity data, officer changes, ownership structure, subsidiary mapping
Job Boards
Hiring velocity, CFO/CRO searches, headcount changes, role pattern analysis
GNews
M&A rumors, leadership changes, strategic reviews, sector deal flow
IRS 990
Nonprofit financials, board turnover, compensation shifts, revenue trajectory
Website Analysis
Site staleness, team page changes, digital presence decay, technology signals
Pipeline-ready intelligence.
Not a data dump. A structured intelligence report designed for deal teams - scored targets, signal breakdowns, and a clear action plan you can execute on immediately.
IC-memo style overview with thesis, key findings, and recommended actions.
Ranked list of highest-opportunity targets with composite scores and individual signal breakdowns.
Visual matrix showing signal strength across all categories for every identified target.
Sector-level context including recent deal comps, buyer activity, and valuation benchmarks.
Thematic groupings of targets by signal pattern - distress cluster, transition cluster, timing cluster.
Prioritized outreach recommendations with suggested approach strategy and timing for each target.
Presentation-ready report formatted for IC decks, partnership meetings, and deal team distribution.
Start from anywhere.
Whether you’re exploring a new sector, refining a thesis, diligencing a known target, or scoring a bulk list - the engine adapts to your workflow.
Industry + Geography
Define a sector and region. We scan the full universe for off-market signals - ideal for building new pipeline in unfamiliar markets.
Target Profile
Describe your ideal acquisition: revenue range, EBITDA, employee count, characteristics. We find companies matching that profile showing sell signals.
Known Company
Already have a target in mind? We run a deep signal scan on a specific entity to quantify off-market likelihood and optimal approach timing.
Batch Mode
Upload a CSV of companies or domains. We score the entire list in parallel and return a ranked, prioritized pipeline with full signal detail.
Find your next deal before the market does.
Define your criteria, pick an input mode, and let the signal engine do the rest. Scored targets, ranked pipeline, and an action plan - delivered in minutes.